Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huracan win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 34.56% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huracan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Huracan in this match.
