SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Racing Club had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Racing Club win was 0-1 (11.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Racing Club |
39.47% ( 0.05) | 28.9% ( 0.12) | 31.62% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 44.62% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.11% ( -0.42) | 61.89% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.35% ( -0.31) | 81.65% ( 0.31) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.44% ( -0.18) | 30.56% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.21% ( -0.22) | 66.79% ( 0.22) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.26% ( -0.35) | 35.74% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.49% ( -0.36) | 72.51% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Racing Club |
| 1-0 @ 12.94% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.03% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.27% Total : 39.46% | 1-1 @ 13.32% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.92% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.9% | 0-1 @ 11.23% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.85% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.02% Total : 31.62% |
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