SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 43.01%. A win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing Club | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
43.01% ( 0.88) | 26.91% ( -0.07) | 30.08% ( -0.82) |
| Both teams to score 49.71% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.79% ( -0.05) | 55.21% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.55% ( -0.04) | 76.44% ( 0.03) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.56% ( 0.43) | 25.43% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.74% ( 0.59) | 60.25% ( -0.6) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.67% ( -0.62) | 33.33% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.05% ( -0.69) | 69.95% ( 0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing Club | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
| 1-0 @ 11.6% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.32% Total : 43% | 1-1 @ 12.75% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.9% | 0-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 7.01% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.45% Total : 30.08% |
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