SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 52.58%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 19.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Instituto win it was 0-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Instituto |
52.58% ( -0) | 27.48% ( 0.01) | 19.93% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 39.61% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.29% ( -0.03) | 63.71% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.02% ( -0.02) | 82.97% ( 0.02) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.36% ( -0.01) | 24.64% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.84% ( -0.02) | 59.15% ( 0.02) |
| Instituto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.56% ( -0.02) | 47.43% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.19% ( -0.02) | 82.81% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Instituto |
| 1-0 @ 16.37% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.46% 2-1 @ 8.55% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.35% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.99% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.88% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0)Other @ 2.08% Total : 52.57% | 1-1 @ 12.21% 0-0 @ 11.68% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.19% ( -0)Other @ 0.4% Total : 27.48% | 0-1 @ 8.72% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.55% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.25% 1-3 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 2.28% Total : 19.93% |
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