SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Platense win with a probability of 35.25%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 33.11% and a draw had a probability of 31.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Platense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.04%) and 2-1 (6.61%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 (13.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Platense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Platense | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
35.25% ( -0.33) | 31.64% ( -0.02) | 33.11% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 38% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 30.09% ( 0.08) | 69.91% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.83% ( 0.05) | 87.17% ( -0.05) |
| Platense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.42% ( -0.18) | 37.58% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.64% ( -0.18) | 74.36% ( 0.18) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.88% ( 0.31) | 39.12% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.16% ( 0.29) | 75.84% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Platense | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 14.38% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.09)2-1 @ 6.61% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 1.75% Total : 35.24% | 0-0 @ 14.7% ( -0.04) 1-1 @ 13.5% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.34% Total : 31.64% | 0-1 @ 13.79% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.09)1-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.52% Total : 33.1% |
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