SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 24 | Atletico Tucuman | 12 | -9 | 10 |
| 25 | Platense | 13 | -10 | 10 |
| 26 | Patronato | 12 | -13 | 10 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 21 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | -2 | 12 |
| 22 | Central Cordoba | 12 | -8 | 11 |
| 23 | Rosario Central | 12 | -6 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Platense win with a probability of 44.03%. A win for Central Cordoba had a probability of 28.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Platense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.63%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest Central Cordoba win was 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Platense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Platense | Draw | Central Cordoba |
44.03% ( 0.39) | 27.89% ( 0.01) | 28.07% ( -0.41) |
| Both teams to score 45.86% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.39% ( -0.2) | 59.61% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.06% ( -0.15) | 79.94% ( 0.15) |
| Platense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.08% ( 0.11) | 26.92% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.75% ( 0.15) | 62.25% ( -0.15) |
| Central Cordoba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.75% ( -0.44) | 37.25% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.97% ( -0.43) | 74.03% ( 0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Platense | Draw | Central Cordoba |
| 1-0 @ 13.16% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.12)2-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.73% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.9% Total : 44.03% | 1-1 @ 12.99% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.88% | 0-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.75% Total : 28.07% |
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