SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Gimnasia | 13 | 2 | 21 |
| 7 | Aldosivi | 12 | 4 | 20 |
| 8 | Newell's Old Boys | 12 | 3 | 20 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 24 | Atletico Tucuman | 12 | -9 | 10 |
| 25 | Platense | 13 | -10 | 10 |
| 26 | Patronato | 12 | -13 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldosivi win with a probability of 42.79%. A win for Platense had a probability of 29.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldosivi win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Platense win was 0-1 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aldosivi | Draw | Platense |
42.79% ( 0.06) | 27.85% ( 0.11) | 29.36% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 46.64% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.05% ( -0.43) | 58.95% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.57% ( -0.33) | 79.43% ( 0.33) |
| Aldosivi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.73% ( -0.17) | 27.27% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.3% ( -0.22) | 62.7% ( 0.22) |
| Platense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.13% ( -0.36) | 35.86% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.36% ( -0.37) | 72.64% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aldosivi | Draw | Platense |
| 1-0 @ 12.7% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 1.88% Total : 42.78% | 1-1 @ 13.03% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.85% | 0-1 @ 10.02% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.98% Total : 29.35% |
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