SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 24 | Atletico Tucuman | 12 | -9 | 10 |
| 25 | Platense | 13 | -10 | 10 |
| 26 | Patronato | 12 | -13 | 10 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 22 |
| 6 | Gimnasia | 13 | 2 | 21 |
| 7 | Aldosivi | 12 | 4 | 20 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Platense win with a probability of 41.82%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 29.8% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Platense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 0-1 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Platense | Draw | Gimnasia |
41.82% ( -0.11) | 28.37% ( -0.09) | 29.8% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 45.41% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.41% ( 0.36) | 60.59% ( -0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.31% ( 0.27) | 80.68% ( -0.28) |
| Platense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.42% ( 0.11) | 28.57% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.63% ( 0.14) | 64.37% ( -0.15) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.58% ( 0.35) | 36.41% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.8% ( 0.35) | 73.2% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Platense | Draw | Gimnasia |
| 1-0 @ 13.03% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.44% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 1.64% Total : 41.82% | 1-1 @ 13.16% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.4% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.36% | 0-1 @ 10.51% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.9% Total : 29.8% |
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