Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 56.72%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 18.46%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.65%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.