SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 55.87%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 19.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing Club | Draw | Lanus |
55.87% ( -0.41) | 24.91% ( 0.21) | 19.22% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 44.99% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.93% ( -0.52) | 56.07% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.86% ( -0.43) | 77.14% ( 0.43) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.97% ( -0.37) | 20.03% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.76% ( -0.59) | 52.24% ( 0.59) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.26% ( -0.07) | 43.74% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.09% ( -0.06) | 79.91% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing Club | Draw | Lanus |
| 1-0 @ 14.08% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 11.32% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.47% Total : 55.86% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.62% Total : 24.9% | 0-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.33% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.77% Total : 19.22% |
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