SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 42.9%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 28.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.65%) and 2-1 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.19%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lanus | Draw | Rosario Central |
42.9% ( -0.11) | 28.92% ( 0.01) | 28.18% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 43.23% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.06% ( 0) | 62.94% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.57% ( 0) | 82.43% ( -0) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.87% ( -0.06) | 29.12% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.95% ( -0.08) | 65.05% ( 0.07) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.99% ( 0.08) | 39.01% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.27% ( 0.08) | 75.73% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lanus | Draw | Rosario Central |
| 1-0 @ 14.01% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.65% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 1.5% Total : 42.9% | 1-1 @ 13.19% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.36% 2-2 @ 3.83% ( 0)Other @ 0.53% Total : 28.91% | 0-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.21% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 1.51% Total : 28.17% |
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