SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 51.13%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 21.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Estudiantes | Draw | Lanus |
51.13% ( 0.22) | 27% ( -0.03) | 21.87% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 43.03% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.46% ( -0.08) | 60.54% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.35% ( -0.06) | 80.65% ( 0.06) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.1% ( 0.07) | 23.9% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.9% ( 0.09) | 58.11% ( -0.09) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.54% ( -0.25) | 43.46% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.32% ( -0.21) | 79.68% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estudiantes | Draw | Lanus |
| 1-0 @ 14.86% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 10.64% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.36% Total : 51.12% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.53% Total : 26.98% | 0-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.99% Total : 21.87% |
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