SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Racing Club | 14 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | Estudiantes | 13 | 15 | 28 |
| 3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Racing Club | 14 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | Estudiantes | 13 | 15 | 28 |
| 3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for Racing Club had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Racing Club win was 0-1 (11.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Estudiantes in this match.
| Result | ||
| Estudiantes | Draw | Racing Club |
38.16% ( 0.15) | 28.56% ( 0.09) | 33.28% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 45.94% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.56% ( -0.37) | 60.43% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.43% ( -0.28) | 80.57% ( 0.28) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.37% ( -0.09) | 30.62% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.13% ( -0.11) | 66.86% ( 0.1) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.22% ( -0.37) | 33.78% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.56% ( -0.4) | 70.44% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estudiantes | Draw | Racing Club |
| 1-0 @ 12.24% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.25% Total : 38.15% | 1-1 @ 13.28% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.55% | 0-1 @ 11.22% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.21% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.4% Total : 33.28% |
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