SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Tigre | 12 | 7 | 19 |
| 10 | Argentinos Juniors | 12 | 3 | 19 |
| 11 | Banfield | 13 | 3 | 18 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | Central Cordoba | 12 | -8 | 11 |
| 23 | Rosario Central | 12 | -6 | 10 |
| 24 | Atletico Tucuman | 12 | -9 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 52.89%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 21.02%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.82%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Rosario Central |
52.89% ( -0.22) | 26.08% ( 0.07) | 21.02% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 44.36% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.75% ( -0.1) | 58.25% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.11% ( -0.08) | 78.89% ( 0.08) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.86% ( -0.13) | 22.14% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.48% ( -0.2) | 55.52% ( 0.2) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.98% ( 0.1) | 43.02% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.69% ( 0.09) | 79.31% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Rosario Central |
| 1-0 @ 14.36% 2-0 @ 10.82% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.83% Total : 52.89% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 3.85% ( 0)Other @ 0.59% Total : 26.08% | 0-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.08% ( 0)0-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.02% Total : 21.02% |
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