SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 57.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Union had a probability of 18.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.68%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing Club | Draw | Union |
57.21% ( 0.84) | 24.55% ( 0.29) | 18.24% ( -1.14) |
| Both teams to score 44.4% ( -2.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.99% ( -2.47) | 56% ( 2.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.9% ( -2.05) | 77.09% ( 2.05) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.51% ( -0.62) | 19.49% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.64% ( -1.02) | 51.36% ( 1.02) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.14% ( -2.77) | 44.85% ( 2.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.18% ( -2.31) | 80.82% ( 2.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing Club | Draw | Union |
| 1-0 @ 14.29% ( 1.05) 2-0 @ 11.68% ( 0.64)2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.2)4-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.25)Other @ 3.63% Total : 57.19% | 1-1 @ 11.46% 0-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.8)2-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.38)Other @ 0.59% Total : 24.55% | 0-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.36)0-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.2)2-3 @ 1% ( -0.19)Other @ 1.59% Total : 18.24% |
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