SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 71.6%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Godoy Cruz had a probability of 10.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.56%) and 3-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Godoy Cruz win it was 0-1 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
71.6% ( 0.04) | 18.08% ( -0.05) | 10.33% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 43.72% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.17% ( 0.26) | 45.83% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.86% ( 0.25) | 68.14% ( -0.25) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.54% ( 0.08) | 11.46% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.72% ( 0.18) | 36.28% ( -0.18) |
| Godoy Cruz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.38% ( 0.2) | 50.62% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.91% ( 0.13) | 85.09% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
| 2-0 @ 13.61% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 12.56% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 9.83% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.63% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.29% Total : 71.59% | 1-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.57% Total : 18.08% | 0-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.12% Total : 10.33% |
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