SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 58.67%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 18.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.31%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Lanus win it was 1-0 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lanus | Draw | River Plate |
18.04% ( -0.75) | 23.29% ( -0.1) | 58.67% ( 0.85) |
| Both teams to score 47.55% ( -1.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.41% ( -0.66) | 51.59% ( 0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.62% ( -0.58) | 73.38% ( 0.58) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.5% ( -1.27) | 42.5% ( 1.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.14% ( -1.1) | 78.86% ( 1.11) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.7% ( 0.07) | 17.3% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.35% ( 0.12) | 47.65% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lanus | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.2)2-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.8% Total : 18.04% | 1-1 @ 11.03% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.16)Other @ 0.76% Total : 23.29% | 0-1 @ 12.9% ( 0.37) 0-2 @ 11.31% ( 0.34)1-2 @ 9.68% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 6.62% ( 0.21)1-3 @ 5.66% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.9% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 2.48% 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.04)0-5 @ 1.02% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.6% Total : 58.66% |
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