SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 73.67%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 9%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.13%) and 3-0 (10.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Arsenal Sarandi |
73.67% ( -0.27) | 17.33% ( 0.14) | 9% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 41.03% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.47% ( -0.25) | 46.53% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.19% ( -0.24) | 68.8% ( 0.23) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.9% ( -0.14) | 11.1% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.51% ( -0.31) | 35.49% ( 0.3) |
| Arsenal Sarandi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.15% ( 0.09) | 53.85% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.82% ( 0.06) | 87.18% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Arsenal Sarandi |
| 2-0 @ 14.44% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 13.13% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 10.58% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.38% Total : 73.66% | 1-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.46% Total : 17.33% | 0-1 @ 3.7% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.64% Total : 9% |
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