SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Godoy Cruz win with a probability of 39.2%. A draw had a probability of 30.5% and a win for Colon had a probability of 30.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Godoy Cruz win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.96%) and 2-1 (7.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.43%), while for a Colon win it was 0-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Godoy Cruz in this match.
| Result | ||
| Godoy Cruz | Draw | Colon |
39.2% ( -0.41) | 30.49% ( 0.01) | 30.31% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 40.22% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.95% ( 0.05) | 67.06% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.7% ( 0.04) | 85.3% ( -0.03) |
| Godoy Cruz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.6% ( -0.23) | 33.4% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.98% ( -0.25) | 70.02% ( 0.25) |
| Colon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.38% ( 0.35) | 39.62% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.7% ( 0.32) | 76.3% ( -0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Godoy Cruz | Draw | Colon |
| 1-0 @ 14.51% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.11)2-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 39.2% | 1-1 @ 13.43% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 13.23% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.41% Total : 30.48% | 0-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.45% Total : 30.31% |
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