SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 46.68%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Godoy Cruz had a probability of 25.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Godoy Cruz win it was 0-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for San Lorenzo in this match.
| Result | ||
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
46.68% ( 3.36) | 28.03% ( -0.79) | 25.28% ( -2.57) |
| Both teams to score 43.61% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.49% ( 1.26) | 61.5% ( -1.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.63% ( 0.92) | 81.37% ( -0.93) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.55% ( 2.35) | 26.45% ( -2.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.37% ( 3.03) | 61.62% ( -3.04) |
| Godoy Cruz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.29% ( -1.53) | 40.7% ( 1.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.71% ( -1.41) | 77.29% ( 1.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
| 1-0 @ 14.31% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.78)2-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.37)3-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.6)3-1 @ 3.79% ( 0.4)3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.28)4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.2)Other @ 1.9% Total : 46.67% | 1-1 @ 12.87% ( -0.29) 0-0 @ 10.76% ( -0.52)2-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.55% Total : 28.03% | 0-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.89) 1-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.38)0-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.61)1-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.25)2-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.29% Total : 25.28% |
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