SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 50.91%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 20.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosario Central would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rosario Central | Draw | Arsenal Sarandi |
50.91% ( 0.3) | 28.2% ( 0.26) | 20.88% ( -0.57) |
| Both teams to score 39.09% ( -1.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.98% ( -1.2) | 65.01% ( 1.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.1% ( -0.85) | 83.9% ( 0.84) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.98% ( -0.41) | 26.02% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.95% ( -0.56) | 61.05% ( 0.55) |
| Arsenal Sarandi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.84% ( -1.33) | 47.15% ( 1.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.39% ( -1.02) | 82.6% ( 1.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rosario Central | Draw | Arsenal Sarandi |
| 1-0 @ 16.51% ( 0.53) 2-0 @ 11.12% ( 0.23)2-1 @ 8.36% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.75% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 1.68% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.82% Total : 50.9% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 12.26% ( 0.53)2-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.38% Total : 28.19% | 0-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.2)0-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.36% Total : 20.88% |
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