SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 47.52%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 24.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for San Lorenzo in this match.
| Result | ||
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Arsenal Sarandi |
47.52% ( -2.22) | 28.15% ( 0.5) | 24.33% ( 1.72) |
| Both teams to score 42.54% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.54% ( -0.41) | 62.46% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.92% ( -0.3) | 82.07% ( 0.3) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.52% ( -1.26) | 26.48% ( 1.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.34% ( -1.71) | 61.66% ( 1.71) |
| Arsenal Sarandi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.86% ( 1.44) | 42.14% ( -1.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.44% ( 1.22) | 78.56% ( -1.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Arsenal Sarandi |
| 1-0 @ 14.82% ( -0.32) 2-0 @ 9.85% ( -0.58)2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.43)3-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.2)4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.12)Other @ 1.86% Total : 47.51% | 1-1 @ 12.81% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 11.15% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.51% Total : 28.14% | 0-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.51) 1-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.32)0-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.38)1-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.13% Total : 24.33% |
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