SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 46.45%. A win for Rosario Central had a probability of 28.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Rosario Central win was 1-0 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rosario Central | Draw | River Plate |
28.4% ( 0.45) | 25.15% ( 0.43) | 46.45% ( -0.89) |
| Both teams to score 54.18% ( -1.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.04% ( -1.55) | 48.96% ( 1.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.95% ( -1.42) | 71.05% ( 1.42) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.67% ( -0.47) | 31.33% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.31% ( -0.55) | 67.69% ( 0.55) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.9% ( -1.01) | 21.1% ( 1.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.07% ( -1.6) | 53.93% ( 1.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rosario Central | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.38) 2-1 @ 6.93% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.86% Total : 28.4% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.41)2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.14% | 0-1 @ 10.28% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 9.29% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 8% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.82% ( -0.21)0-3 @ 4.15% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.16)1-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.14)0-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.54% Total : 46.45% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
