SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Barracas Central had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.45%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Barracas Central win was 1-0 (12.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barracas Central | Draw | Rosario Central |
32.74% ( -0.26) | 29.74% ( 0.12) | 37.52% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 42.63% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.57% ( -0.42) | 64.43% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.51% ( -0.3) | 83.49% ( 0.29) |
| Barracas Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.69% ( -0.41) | 36.31% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.9% ( -0.42) | 73.09% ( 0.42) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.93% ( -0.13) | 33.06% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.34% ( -0.15) | 69.66% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barracas Central | Draw | Rosario Central |
| 1-0 @ 12.16% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 6.82% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.94% Total : 32.73% | 1-1 @ 13.46% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 12% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.74% | 0-1 @ 13.28% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.45% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.35% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.58% Total : 37.51% |
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