SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 43.11%. A draw had a probability of 32.3% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (6.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.68%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | San Lorenzo |
43.11% ( -0.18) | 32.29% ( 0.28) | 24.6% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 33.8% ( -0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 26.68% ( -0.68) | 73.32% ( 0.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 10.71% ( -0.41) | 89.28% ( 0.41) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.53% ( -0.49) | 34.46% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.82% ( -0.53) | 71.18% ( 0.52) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.57% ( -0.54) | 48.42% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.46% ( -0.39) | 83.54% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | San Lorenzo |
| 1-0 @ 17.77% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 9.47% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.19% Total : 43.1% | 0-0 @ 16.68% ( 0.41) 1-1 @ 12.89% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.22% Total : 32.28% | 0-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.24% Total : 24.59% |
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