Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 46.37%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 25.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.