Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Talleres had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Talleres win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newell's Old Boys would win this match.