San Lorenzo
3 - 2
Newell's OB

Ortigoza (34' pen.), Di Santo (45+2', 47')
Cerutti (40'), Rosane (42'), Garcia (75'), Sabella (86'), Zapata (89')
Sabella (90+5')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Gonzalez (6'), Fernandez (42')
Escobar (2'), Calcaterra (17'), Perez (43')
Bittolo (18'), Calcaterra (84')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between San Lorenzo and Newell's Old Boys.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 38.22%. A win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.82%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 (11.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Lorenzo would win this match.

Result
San Lorenzo	Draw	Newell's Old Boys
38.22%	28.72%	33.05%

Both teams to score 45.44%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.96%

61.04%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.97%

81.02%

San Lorenzo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.11%

30.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.83%

67.17%

Newell's Old Boys Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.73%

34.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.04%

70.96%

Score Analysis

San Lorenzo 38.22%

Newell's Old Boys 33.04%

Draw 28.71%

San Lorenzo	Draw	Newell's Old Boys
1-0 @ 12.43% 2-1 @ 7.82% 2-0 @ 7.3% 3-1 @ 3.06% 3-0 @ 2.86% 3-2 @ 1.64% Other @ 3.1% Total : 38.22%	1-1 @ 13.31% 0-0 @ 10.58% 2-2 @ 4.19% Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.71%	0-1 @ 11.33% 1-2 @ 7.13% 0-2 @ 6.07% 1-3 @ 2.55% 0-3 @ 2.17% 2-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.3% Total : 33.04%