SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 36.16%. A win for Union had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.48%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Union win was 0-1 (12.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Banfield | Draw | Union |
36.16% ( -0.56) | 29.1% ( -0.03) | 34.73% ( 0.59) |
| Both teams to score 44.57% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.81% ( 0.14) | 62.19% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.12% ( 0.1) | 81.87% ( -0.1) |
| Banfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.23% ( -0.28) | 32.77% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.67% ( -0.32) | 69.33% ( 0.32) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.29% ( 0.48) | 33.71% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.63% ( 0.51) | 70.37% ( -0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Banfield | Draw | Union |
| 1-0 @ 12.32% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0)Other @ 2.64% Total : 36.16% | 1-1 @ 13.4% 0-0 @ 11.04% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.59% Total : 29.1% | 0-1 @ 12.01% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 7.29% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.42% Total : 34.73% |
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