SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 49.26%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Union had a probability of 23.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Talleres | Draw | Union |
49.26% ( 0.9) | 27.24% ( -0.45) | 23.51% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 44.1% ( 0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.94% ( 1.14) | 60.06% ( -1.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.72% ( 0.86) | 80.28% ( -0.86) |
| Talleres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.45% ( 0.94) | 24.55% ( -0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.97% ( 1.3) | 59.02% ( -1.3) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.45% ( 0.23) | 41.55% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.96% ( 0.2) | 78.04% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Talleres | Draw | Union |
| 1-0 @ 14.32% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.11)2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 4.14% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.27% Total : 49.25% | 1-1 @ 12.58% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 10.19% ( -0.45)2-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.58% Total : 27.23% | 0-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 1.62% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.18% Total : 23.51% |
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