SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 49.36%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Union had a probability of 23.47%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (8.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Tucuman | Draw | Union |
49.36% ( -0.12) | 27.16% ( 0.02) | 23.47% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 44.26% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.16% ( 0.01) | 59.84% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.89% ( 0.01) | 80.11% ( -0.01) |
| Atletico Tucuman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.6% ( -0.05) | 24.4% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.18% ( -0.07) | 58.82% ( 0.07) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.55% ( 0.1) | 41.45% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.05% ( 0.09) | 77.95% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Tucuman | Draw | Union |
| 1-0 @ 14.26% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.06% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 8.86% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.17% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0)Other @ 2.31% Total : 49.36% | 1-1 @ 12.56% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.11% 2-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.58% Total : 27.16% | 0-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.19% Total : 23.47% |
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