SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Union had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Union win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Defensa y Justicia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Union |
44.57% ( -0.94) | 26.08% ( 0.22) | 29.35% ( 0.72) |
| Both teams to score 51.84% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.71% ( -0.55) | 52.28% ( 0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.02% ( -0.48) | 73.98% ( 0.48) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.64% ( -0.68) | 23.36% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.66% ( -1) | 57.34% ( 1) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.65% ( 0.25) | 32.35% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.14% ( 0.28) | 68.86% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Union |
| 1-0 @ 10.99% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.87% Total : 44.57% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.08% | 0-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 7% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.65% Total : 29.35% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
