SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 34.93%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 30.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (6.87%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 (13.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosario Central would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rosario Central | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
34.93% ( 0.48) | 30.66% ( -0.11) | 34.41% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 40.44% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.9% ( 0.31) | 67.1% ( -0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.67% ( 0.21) | 85.33% ( -0.21) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.77% ( 0.51) | 36.22% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.99% ( 0.52) | 73.01% ( -0.52) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.41% ( -0.09) | 36.58% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.63% ( -0.09) | 73.37% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rosario Central | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
| 1-0 @ 13.45% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.96% Total : 34.92% | 1-1 @ 13.53% 0-0 @ 13.25% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.42% Total : 30.65% | 0-1 @ 13.32% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 6.8% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.9% Total : 34.41% |
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