SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 42.27%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 27.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.7%) and 2-1 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.27%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Estudiantes |
42.27% ( -0.69) | 29.8% ( 0.59) | 27.92% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 40.91% ( -1.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.27% ( -1.74) | 65.73% ( 1.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.6% ( -1.22) | 84.4% ( 1.22) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.12% ( -1.27) | 30.87% ( 1.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.84% ( -1.51) | 67.16% ( 1.52) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.19% ( -0.91) | 40.81% ( 0.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.61% ( -0.83) | 77.39% ( 0.83) |
| Score Analysis |
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Estudiantes |
| 1-0 @ 14.8% ( 0.43) 2-0 @ 8.7% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.24)3-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 1% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.13% Total : 42.27% | 1-1 @ 13.27% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 12.6% ( 0.79)2-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.44% Total : 29.8% | 0-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.44) 1-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.29% Total : 27.92% |
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