SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 59.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 17.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.39%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
59.22% ( -0.3) | 23.08% ( -0.09) | 17.7% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 47.58% ( 0.97) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.77% ( 0.92) | 51.23% ( -0.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.93% ( 0.8) | 73.06% ( -0.8) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.02% ( 0.22) | 16.98% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.92% ( 0.39) | 47.08% ( -0.39) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.31% ( 1.02) | 42.69% ( -1.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.97% ( 0.85) | 79.03% ( -0.85) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
| 1-0 @ 12.85% ( -0.38) 2-0 @ 11.39% ( -0.25)2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 5.73% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.54% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 1.06% 5-1 @ 0.9% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.79% Total : 59.21% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.27)2-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.76% Total : 23.07% | 0-1 @ 6.17% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.76% Total : 17.7% |
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