SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Iran | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | United Arab Emirates | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Hong Kong | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Palestine | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Iran | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | United Arab Emirates | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Hong Kong | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Palestine | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Palestine had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.04%) and 1-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Palestine win was 1-0 (10.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Palestine | Draw | United Arab Emirates |
30.27% ( 0.09) | 28.83% ( -0.01) | 40.89% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 44.37% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.01% ( 0.07) | 61.99% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.27% ( 0.05) | 81.73% ( -0.05) |
| Palestine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.19% ( 0.11) | 36.81% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.4% ( 0.11) | 73.6% ( -0.11) |
| United Arab Emirates Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.21% ( -0.02) | 29.78% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.14% ( -0.02) | 65.86% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Palestine | Draw | United Arab Emirates |
| 1-0 @ 10.95% 2-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.84% Total : 30.26% | 1-1 @ 13.27% 0-0 @ 10.96% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.83% | 0-1 @ 13.27% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 8.04% ( -0.03)1-2 @ 8.04% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.25% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 1.45% Total : 40.88% |
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