SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 58.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Nepal had a probability of 16.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.31%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Nepal win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that United Arab Emirates would win this match.
| Result | ||
| United Arab Emirates | Draw | Nepal |
58.89% ( -0) | 24.26% ( 0) | 16.85% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 42.8% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.2% ( 0) | 56.79% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.27% ( 0) | 77.73% ( -0) |
| United Arab Emirates Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.85% ( 0) | 19.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.2% ( 0) | 50.79% |
| Nepal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.93% ( 0) | 47.06% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.47% ( 0) | 82.53% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| United Arab Emirates | Draw | Nepal |
| 1-0 @ 14.89% 2-0 @ 12.31% 2-1 @ 9.28% 3-0 @ 6.78% 3-1 @ 5.11% 4-0 @ 2.8% 4-1 @ 2.11% 3-2 @ 1.93% 5-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.74% Total : 58.88% | 1-1 @ 11.22% 0-0 @ 9.01% 2-2 @ 3.5% ( 0)Other @ 0.52% Total : 24.25% | 0-1 @ 6.79% 1-2 @ 4.23% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.56% 1-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.2% Total : 16.85% |
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