SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Lebanon had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Lebanon win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that United Arab Emirates would win this match.
| Result | ||
| United Arab Emirates | Draw | Lebanon |
40.63% ( 0.19) | 27.2% ( -0.27) | 32.17% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 49.63% ( 0.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.3% ( 1.05) | 55.7% ( -1.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.16% ( 0.85) | 76.84% ( -0.85) |
| United Arab Emirates Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.09% ( 0.59) | 26.91% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.76% ( 0.77) | 62.24% ( -0.77) |
| Lebanon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.9% ( 0.6) | 32.1% ( -0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.43% ( 0.68) | 68.57% ( -0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| United Arab Emirates | Draw | Lebanon |
| 1-0 @ 11.33% ( -0.27) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.7% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.05% Total : 40.62% | 1-1 @ 12.88% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 8.64% ( -0.36)2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.2% | 0-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.75% Total : 32.17% |
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