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Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 26, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
UPC-Arena
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Sturm Graz
2 - 2
Atalanta

Prass (13'), Wlodarczyk (80' pen.)
Hierlander (45+7'), Kiteishvili (45+2')
Hierlander (52')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Muriel (34', 45+7' pen.)
Lookman (45+7'), Bakker (82')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sturm Graz 2-1 Hartberg
Saturday, October 21 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

We said: Sturm Graz 1-2 Atalanta BC

Atalanta face a tough test in Austria on Thursday, but they have continuously showed their attacking ability across all competitions this term and we fancy them to come out on top in an intriguing encounter with arguably more quality all over the pitch than their hosts possess. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Sturm GrazDrawAtalanta BC
40.42% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 25.57%34%
Both teams to score 55.36% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.42% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)48.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.3% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)70.7%
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.21% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)23.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.05% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)57.94%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.64%27.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.17% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)62.82%
Score Analysis
    Sturm Graz 40.42%
    Atalanta BC 34.01%
    Draw 25.57%
Sturm GrazDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 9.35%
2-1 @ 8.7%
2-0 @ 6.71%
3-1 @ 4.16%
3-0 @ 3.21%
3-2 @ 2.7%
4-1 @ 1.5%
4-0 @ 1.15%
4-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 40.42%
1-1 @ 12.11%
0-0 @ 6.51%
2-2 @ 5.64%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.57%
0-1 @ 8.43%
1-2 @ 7.85%
0-2 @ 5.47%
1-3 @ 3.39%
2-3 @ 2.44%
0-3 @ 2.36%
1-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 34.01%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sturm Graz 2-1 Hartberg
Saturday, October 21 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsberger 1-2 Sturm Graz
Sunday, October 8 at 1.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Rakow 0-1 Sturm Graz
Thursday, October 5 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Sturm Graz 1-0 Swarovski
Sunday, October 1 at 1.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Rapid Vienna 1-1 Sturm Graz
Sunday, September 24 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Sturm Graz 1-2 Sporting Lisbon
Thursday, September 21 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Atalanta 2-0 Genoa
Sunday, October 22 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 3-2 Atalanta
Sunday, October 8 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 1-2 Atalanta
Thursday, October 5 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Atalanta 0-0 Juventus
Sunday, October 1 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-1 Atalanta
Wednesday, September 27 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 2-0 Cagliari
Sunday, September 24 at 2pm in Serie A


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