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Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 3, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
MCH Arena

Midtjylland
2 - 0
Sturm Graz

Dreyer (15', 72')
Evander (28'), Sviatchenko (88'), Olsson (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kiteishvili (30'), Dante (33'), Schnegg (56'), Emegha (88')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Midtjylland 1-2 Odense
Monday, October 31 at 6.15pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Sturm Graz 1-0 Feyenoord
Thursday, October 27 at 8pm in Europa League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Silkeborg251.67Jorgensen
2Midtjylland241.60Dreyer
3Nordsjaelland241.60Schjelderup
4Copenhagen231.53Claesson
5Brondby221.47Omoijuanfo
6Randers221.47Egho
7Viborg221.47Grot
8Odense191.27Kadrii
9Aarhus181.20Mortensen
10AaB151.00Bakiz
11Horsens140.93Jacobsen
12Lyngby Boldklub130.87Jorgensen

We said: FC Midtjylland 1-1 Sturm Graz

It is no doubt going to be a tense affair, with so much on the line for both teams. Midtjylland will throw everything that they have at it late on, but we think Sturm Graz will hold on for a point, just about enough to get them through to the next round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 37.15%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 36.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 0-1 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Midtjylland would win this match.

Result
FC MidtjyllandDrawSturm Graz
37.15% (0.151 0.15) 26.6% (0.081000000000003 0.08) 36.24% (-0.24 -0.24)
Both teams to score 52.21% (-0.282 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.27% (-0.354 -0.35)52.73% (0.34699999999999 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.63% (-0.305 -0.31)74.36% (0.298 0.3)
FC Midtjylland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.52% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)27.47% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.03% (-0.103 -0.1)62.96% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.99% (-0.313 -0.31)28.01% (0.307 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.35% (-0.398 -0.4)63.65% (0.39100000000001 0.39)
Score Analysis
    FC Midtjylland 37.15%
    Sturm Graz 36.24%
    Draw 26.6%
FC MidtjyllandDrawSturm Graz
1-0 @ 9.94% (0.115 0.12)
2-1 @ 8.17% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.42% (0.061 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.52% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.77% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.14% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 37.15%
1-1 @ 12.65% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.69% (0.105 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.2% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.6%
0-1 @ 9.79% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.05% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.23% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.42% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.64% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.09% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 36.24%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Midtjylland 1-2 Odense
Monday, October 31 at 6.15pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Lazio 2-1 Midtjylland
Thursday, October 27 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Copenhagen 1-1 Midtjylland
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Midtjylland 2-1 Horsens
Sunday, October 16 at 5pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Feyenoord 2-2 Midtjylland
Thursday, October 13 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Aarhus 0-1 Midtjylland
Sunday, October 9 at 1pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Sturm Graz 1-0 Feyenoord
Thursday, October 27 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Lazio 2-2 Sturm Graz
Thursday, October 13 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Sturm Graz 0-0 Lazio
Thursday, October 6 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Feyenoord 6-0 Sturm Graz
Thursday, September 15 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Sturm Graz 1-0 Midtjylland
Thursday, September 8 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Sturm Graz 1-2 Dynamo Kiev
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.30pm in Champions League


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