SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 51.35%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 24.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sturm Graz | Draw | Lazio |
51.35% ( 0.14) | 23.9% ( -0.01) | 24.76% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 55.08% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.71% ( -0.07) | 46.3% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.42% ( -0.07) | 68.59% ( 0.07) |
| Sturm Graz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.96% ( 0.02) | 18.04% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.06% ( 0.04) | 48.94% ( -0.04) |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.21% ( -0.15) | 32.79% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.65% ( -0.17) | 69.35% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sturm Graz | Draw | Lazio |
| 1-0 @ 10.13% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.36% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0)Other @ 3.52% Total : 51.35% | 1-1 @ 11.29% 0-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.89% | 0-1 @ 6.6% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.47% Total : 24.76% |
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