SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.27%) and 2-0 (5.4%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sturm Graz | Draw | Feyenoord |
41.26% ( 0.07) | 22.93% ( 0) | 35.81% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 65.38% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.3% ( -0.01) | 35.7% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.23% ( -0.01) | 57.77% ( 0.01) |
| Sturm Graz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.11% ( 0.03) | 17.89% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.32% ( 0.05) | 48.68% ( -0.05) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.63% ( -0.04) | 20.37% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.22% ( -0.06) | 52.78% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sturm Graz | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.92% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.69% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 3.93% Total : 41.26% | 1-1 @ 9.98% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.83% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.64% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.08% ( -0)Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.93% | 1-2 @ 7.94% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.8% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.21% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.62% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.44% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 3.09% Total : 35.81% |
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