SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Belshina | 19 | -2 | 22 |
| 12 | Slutsk | 19 | -11 | 18 |
| 13 | Vitebsk | 19 | -10 | 17 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Vitebsk | 19 | -10 | 17 |
| 14 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 19 | -17 | 13 |
| 15 | Dinamo Brest | 18 | -15 | 12 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slutsk win with a probability of 40.73%. A win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 31.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slutsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win was 0-1 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Slutsk in this match.
| Result | ||
| Slutsk | Draw | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk |
40.73% ( 0.53) | 27.85% ( -0.1) | 31.43% ( -0.43) |
| Both teams to score 47.5% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.73% ( 0.24) | 58.27% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.1% ( 0.19) | 78.9% ( -0.19) |
| Slutsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.93% ( 0.41) | 28.07% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.26% ( 0.52) | 63.73% ( -0.52) |
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.04% ( -0.19) | 33.96% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.36% ( -0.2) | 70.63% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Slutsk | Draw | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk |
| 1-0 @ 12.11% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.79% Total : 40.73% | 1-1 @ 13.08% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.85% | 0-1 @ 10.29% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0)Other @ 2.35% Total : 31.42% |
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