SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Shakhtyor Soligorsk | 15 | 11 | 30 |
| 4 | BATE Borisov | 15 | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | FC Minsk | 15 | 5 | 26 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Dinamo Minsk | 13 | 7 | 25 |
| 7 | Slavia Mozyr | 15 | 2 | 23 |
| 8 | Neman | 15 | 3 | 21 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Slavia Mozyr had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Slavia Mozyr win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BATE Borisov would win this match.
| Result | ||
| BATE Borisov | Draw | Slavia Mozyr |
42.89% ( -0) | 26.24% ( 0.04) | 30.86% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 52.09% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.67% ( -0.17) | 52.33% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.98% ( -0.15) | 74.02% ( 0.15) |
| BATE Borisov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.8% ( -0.08) | 24.2% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.46% ( -0.11) | 58.54% ( 0.11) |
| Slavia Mozyr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.72% ( -0.11) | 31.28% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.36% ( -0.13) | 67.64% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| BATE Borisov | Draw | Slavia Mozyr |
| 1-0 @ 10.74% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.19% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.6% 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0)Other @ 2.69% Total : 42.89% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.24% | 0-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.25% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.11% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.92% Total : 30.86% |
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