SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Gomel | 9 | -1 | 11 |
| 11 | Belshina | 10 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Torpedo-BelAZ | 9 | -6 | 8 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | BATE Borisov | 9 | 15 | 23 |
| 2 | Energetik-BGU | 10 | 15 | 22 |
| 3 | Dinamo Minsk | 10 | 6 | 21 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belshina win with a probability of 38.82%. A win for BATE Borisov had a probability of 35.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belshina win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest BATE Borisov win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Belshina | Draw | BATE Borisov |
| 38.82% | 25.75% | 35.43% |
| Both teams to score 54.99% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.83% | 49.17% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.76% | 71.24% |
| Belshina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.11% | 24.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.5% | 59.5% |
| BATE Borisov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.21% | 26.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.92% | 62.08% |
| Score Analysis |
| Belshina | Draw | BATE Borisov |
| 1-0 @ 9.27% 2-1 @ 8.49% 2-0 @ 6.45% 3-1 @ 3.94% 3-0 @ 2.99% 3-2 @ 2.59% 4-1 @ 1.37% 4-0 @ 1.04% 4-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.77% Total : 38.82% | 1-1 @ 12.21% 0-0 @ 6.67% 2-2 @ 5.59% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.75% | 0-1 @ 8.78% 1-2 @ 8.04% 0-2 @ 5.78% 1-3 @ 3.53% 0-3 @ 2.54% 2-3 @ 2.46% 1-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.13% Total : 35.43% |
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