Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belshina win with a probability of 38.82%. A win for BATE Borisov had a probability of 35.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belshina win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest BATE Borisov win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
