SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 40.81%. A win for BATE Borisov had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest BATE Borisov win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Torpedo-BelAZ | Draw | BATE Borisov |
40.81% ( 0.02) | 26.35% ( -0) | 32.83% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.47% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.84% ( 0.01) | 52.16% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.12% ( 0.01) | 73.88% ( -0.01) |
| Torpedo-BelAZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.81% ( 0.02) | 25.19% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.08% ( 0.02) | 59.92% ( -0.02) |
| BATE Borisov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.14% ( -0) | 29.86% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.05% ( -0) | 65.95% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Torpedo-BelAZ | Draw | BATE Borisov |
| 1-0 @ 10.37% 2-1 @ 8.64% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.15% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.97% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.29% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 2.49% Total : 40.81% | 1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 7.52% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.57% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.49% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.05% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.39% Total : 32.83% |
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