SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slutsk win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Smorgon had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slutsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Smorgon win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Slutsk | Draw | Smorgon |
42.78% ( -0.96) | 26.07% ( -0.03) | 31.15% ( 0.99) |
| Both teams to score 52.78% ( 0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.51% ( 0.49) | 51.49% ( -0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.71% ( 0.43) | 73.29% ( -0.43) |
| Slutsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.11% ( -0.26) | 23.89% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.91% ( -0.37) | 58.09% ( 0.37) |
| Smorgon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.34% ( 0.95) | 30.66% ( -0.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.1% ( 1.1) | 66.9% ( -1.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Slutsk | Draw | Smorgon |
| 1-0 @ 10.48% ( -0.29) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.26)3-1 @ 4.24% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.79% Total : 42.78% | 1-1 @ 12.39% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.06% | 0-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.33% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.11)Other @ 3.07% Total : 31.15% |
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