Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 44.87%. A win for Dnepr Mogilev had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Dnepr Mogilev win was 1-0 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BATE Borisov would win this match.
