Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Torpedo-BelAZ had a probability of 30.89% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Torpedo-BelAZ win was 1-0 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
