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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Brest win with a probability of 66.86%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Smorgon had a probability of 14.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Brest win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 1-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a Smorgon win it was 1-2 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Brest would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dinamo Brest | Draw | Smorgon |
66.86% ( 1.98) | 18.89% ( -0.55) | 14.24% ( -1.44) |
| Both teams to score 53.36% ( -1.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.46% ( -0.52) | 39.54% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.11% ( -0.54) | 61.89% ( 0.55) |
| Dinamo Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.05% ( 0.37) | 10.94% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.84% ( 0.81) | 35.15% ( -0.81) |
| Smorgon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.91% ( -2.24) | 40.08% ( 2.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.27% ( -2.11) | 76.73% ( 2.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dinamo Brest | Draw | Smorgon |
| 2-0 @ 10.73% ( 0.57) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.06)1-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.38)3-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.53)3-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.36)4-1 @ 4% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.18)5-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.18)4-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.07)Other @ 4.22% Total : 66.86% | 1-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.31)0-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.89% | 1-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.35) 0-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.19)Other @ 1.74% Total : 14.25% |
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